In this blog, there are lots of results gained by card game experiments. Blackjack, Pontoon, Caribbean Poker, etc.

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I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie. I'm a cram school teacher and normally work in the evening. When I have time, I make a study of Blackjack through taking a test practically. I wanna become a smarter blackjack player in the future. I've been seeking for a convincing rule recently.
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2017年9月2日土曜日

[Pontoon, Spanish 21] Hit 15


Pontoon Strategy

Is it almost the same as in Blackjack?
In the basic strategy of Pontoon, hitting 15 is recommended when the dealer's face-up card is 7 or stronger.
It's the same strategy as the one in Blackjack.

As a merit of Pontoon, the player wins at hand 21 regardless of the dealer's final hand.
Considering this merit, I guess the result would be better than the one in Blackjack.

Through the experiment, I calculated the winning percentages of the following cases.

1  hit 15 against Dealer's 7
2  hit 15 against Dealer's Ace

This video consists of 10 scenes selected from all.
The playback time is only 5 min.

Result

The following graphs show the results gained by the 100 data.
It was worse than I had expected.

Compared to the result of the same situation in Blackjack, it was a bit better.

The winning percentages except for a tie

 are as follows:


vs Dealer's 7  24%   vs Dealer's Ace 20%

★Considerations★

When hitting 15 vs D's 7-Ace, we would win at a rate of 20-24%
That's based on the experiments.
The rate range is desperate to us.

If surrender is allowed, it's a good way to avoid an easy defeat.
I mean it's bust.

When hitting 15, the player busted 61 out of the 100 games.

What hopeless hands they are!
I will play in casinos where surrender is allowed.

This time, I didn't conduct the experiment on hitting 16.
Needless to do that, we can guess the winning percentages would be below 20%.


That' all.
Hope it'll help.
Bye.

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