In this blog, there are lots of results gained by card game experiments. Blackjack, Pontoon, Caribbean Poker, etc.

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I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie. I'm a cram school teacher and normally work in the evening. When I have time, I make a study of Blackjack through taking a test practically. I wanna become a smarter blackjack player in the future. I've been seeking for a convincing rule recently.
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2017年6月22日木曜日

[Blackjack] Two 2s vs Dealer's 2



Blackjack Strategy

Expect doubling down will come after splitting it.

Two 2s vs Dealer's 2 in Blackjack

In the basic strategy of Blackjack, split is recommended.
However, it's applicable to this rule: double after split is allowed.
What about hitting the pair as 4?

To calculate the winning percentages for both choices, I conducted a Blackjack experiment.

▼Experiment 1▼


▼Detailed Result 1▼
The following two graphs show the percentages of each outcome based on the 50 data.
Blackjack Experiment Result of split (22 vs D2)


Blackjack Experiment Result of hit(22 vs D2)

To get more precise result, I collected more data under the European no hole card style.

▼Experiment 2▼
In this video, Japanese language is mainly used.
But you will vaguely understand how the experiment proceeds.


▼Detailed Result 2▼
These two graphs show the percentages of each outcome based on the 50 data.
Blackjack Experiment Result of split (22 vs D2)


Blackjack Experiment Result of hit(22 vs D2)


▼More Precise Result▼

Lastly, the following two graphs show the results based on the 100 data.
Blackjack Experiment Result of split(22 vs D2)
We would lose at a rate of about 1/2.

Blackjack Experiment Result of hit (22 vs D2)
There is not really a big difference between both results.


The results except for a tie

are as follows:

Winning Percentages
Split 47%    Hit 47%

The chip's fluctuation
Split +2 chips    Hit -6 chips


One more thing, look at this graph.
Blackjack Experiment Result of 3-unit-win (22 vs D2)
It shows the percentages of 3-unit-win.
At a rate of 62%, the player won triple.
For example, after splitting, one is a doubled hand and the other is normal.
And then, he won both.
This is a positive aspect brought by splitting.
This time, there was no 4-unit-win nor 4-unit-loss.


To sum up, against Dealer's 2, split a pair of 2 is rather preferable to hit it.


That's all.
Hope this article will be useful.
If you like, give me comments, thanks.
Good luck for your splitting.
Bye.


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