In this blog, there are lots of results gained by card game experiments. Blackjack, Pontoon, Caribbean Poker, etc.

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I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie. I'm a cram school teacher and normally work in the evening. When I have time, I make a study of Blackjack through taking a test practically. I wanna become a smarter blackjack player in the future. I've been seeking for a convincing rule recently.
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2017年3月24日金曜日

[Blackjack] Two 8s vs Dealer's 10


Oh, no!  It's a very hard situation.
Two 8s against Dealer's 10 in Blackjack

In the basic strategy of Blackjack, split is recommended.
But I think many players hesitate about whether to make a choice.

I conducted a Blackjack experiment to calculate the winning percentages for the three choices, split, hit and stay.

▼Experiment▼


▼Detailed Result▼
The following two graphs show the percentages of each outcome.
Blackjack Experiment Result (Two 8s vs D10)


Blackjack Experiment Result (Two 8s vs D10)


Blackjack Experiment Result (Two 8s vs D10)

A couple of months ago, I collected 50 data in the same situation.
But the experiment was conducted under the European no hole card style.
It's a harsh style.

Then the following two graphs show the results based on the 100 data.
Blackjack Experiment Result (Two 8s vs D10)
Get ready to lose at a rate of about 1/2 when you've decided it.
Focusing on the winning rate, I think it's no too bad.
During the experiment, there were only a few triple wins despite such a difficult situation.

Blackjack Experiment Result (Two 8s vs D10)
Seeing the graph, we would make a despairing sigh.
Since two 8s is hand 16, if allowed, surrender is preferable to hitting it.

Blackjack Experiment Result (Two 8s vs D10)
From this graph, stay is rather preferable to hit.
It's obvious that this choice is also disadvantageous.



The results except for a tie are as follows.

Winning Rate
Split 38%    Hit 19%    Stay 23%

The chip's fluctuation
Split -34 chips    Hit -59 chips    Stay -54 chips


After all, splitting 8s against D's 10 is the best of all the choices.


The renewal is done.
Hope it will be useful.
I wonder what article should be improved next.
Bye.


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