[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 2s vs Dealer's 8

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 2s vs Dealer's 8

  19:18    Japanese Nokkie

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Do you split 2s in this situation without hesitation?


Konnichiwa, minasan.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

Today I devised a new betting system and tried it practically.
But it was a failure.
If I hit upon a good one, I wanna make a video of it.


This time, I made a study of the Pontoon basic strategy.

What do you think about splitting 2s against Dealer's 8?

In the Blackjack strategy, it's NOT recommended in this situation.

Then why is it recommended in the Pontoon strategy?

That's why I took a test of it.

In the following video, there are two parts.

Part 1  About split (Following BS)
Part 2  About hit (NOT Following BS)

▼Practical Test▼

From the results gained by the tests, it's difficult to say which choice is better.

If you like an adventure, I suggest you choose 'split'.
It sometimes brings you something exciting.

For example, double down after the splitting.
Occasionally, for both hands, you can double down.
If wins both, your gaming chips will rapidly gain.

If you don't like splitting a pair, you should normally hit.
Some might say that implies divorce.
It's spiritual, though.

In my case, I will choose 'split' because I like something exciting.


That's all for today.

Thank you for reading my article and watching my video.
I'm very happy various people in the world visit my blog.

Bye.


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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] 13 vs Dealer's 5

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] 13 vs Dealer's 5

  18:50    Japanese Nokkie

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Can you hit it without hesitation?

In the basic strategy of Pontoon, hit is recommended.
But many players choose stand as in Blackjack.

I conducted a Pontoon experiment to calculate the winning percentages for both choices.

▼Experiment▼

▼Precise Result▼

The following two graphs show the results based on the 100 data.

The winning rate is just 1/4.
It's contrary to my expectation.
To be sure, the probability of losing at busted hand is 4/12 (33%) in theory.
Shouldn't we follow the BS?

From the graph, we would win once in three times.
Since hand 13 is a rubbish hand, it cannot be helped, I suppose.


The results except for a time are as follows:

Winning Rate
Hit 28%    Stay 34%

The chip's fluctuation
Hit -40 chips    Stay -32 chips


To sum up, against Dealer's 5, standing on hard 13 is rather preferable to hitting it.


That's all.
I hope this article will be useful.
If you like, please give me comments, thanks.
Good luck for your gambling.
Bye.


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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] hard 17 vs Dealer's Ace

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] hard 17 vs Dealer's Ace

  17:46    Japanese Nokkie

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Why does BS say, "Hit hard 17."


Hello, everyone.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

Today I bought new playing cards for my new videos.
They are for Pontoon (Spanish 21).

It's not so common compared to Blackjack, I guess.
So I wanna tell you that it has some merits.
For example, there are many kinds of bonus such as three 7s, 6-7-8, 5-card-21 etc.
The odds are 3 to 2 or better as far as I know.

Its basic strategy is different from the one in Blackjack.

For example, when a player's hand is hard 17 and a dealer's initial card is Ace, 'hit' is recommended in the BS of European no hole card Pontoon.
Many of you may say it's strange.

Updated below

▼Experiment▼

The following two graphs show the percentages of each outcome based on the 100 data.

As I expected, it's difficult for the player to win in this situation.
Fortunately taking a card of 4, we definitely win, because this game is Pontoon.
It's a positive aspect of Pontoon.

In my case, I would hit 4 card-hard 17, because we will get the bonus.
The odds are 3-2 when 5-card-21 in Aussie casinos.

I think surrender may be a good choice.
However, the original bet will be taken when the dealer's hand is Pontoon (Ace & any picture).

The winning rate is quite hopeless.

In Pontoon, the dealer must hit soft 17.

So his hand is unlikely to become hand 17, in comparison to Blackjack.

The results except for a tie are as follows:

Winning Rate

Hit 18%    Stay 10%

The chip's fluctuation

Hit -61 chips    Stay  -74 chips

To sum up, hitting hard 17 is preferable to stay. 

The renewal is done.

I hope it will become interesting to you.

I'll go to improve another article.

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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] About the game

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] About the game

  16:46    Japanese Nokkie

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Hi, there.

I'm Nokkie.

Today I'm going to write about a casino game, Pontoon.
It's also called Spanish 21.
It's similar to Blackjack.

The clear difference is that there's no 10s in the cards.
But there are picture cards.

Besides, there are some bonus hands.

One is three 7s and its odds is 3 to 2.  It's the same as hand blackjack.
Plus, with same suits, the odds is 2 to 1.

Another is 6,7,8 and its odds is also 3 to 2.

The most exciting hand is three 7s with same suits and Dealer's 7.

In this rare situation, the super bonus is paid, depending on the bet amount.

In fact, I have got the super bonus just once before!

I succeeded in getting three heart 7s and the dealer's initial card is also 7.

1000 dollars were paid to me and the additional bonus, Envy Bonus, were paid to other players on the same table.
To be sure, 50 dollars were paid as Envy Bonus.
It was not too bad.

If I had bet 25 dollars or more at that time, I could have got 5,000 dollars!

I wanna get it in the future.

So I decided to make a study of Pontoon today.

I need to memorize the basic strategy and collect useful data.


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[Blackjack] Two 4s vs Dealer's 5

[Blackjack] Two 4s vs Dealer's 5

  18:11    Japanese Nokkie

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Is it terrible to split 4s?


Konnichiwa, minasan.

Hello, everyone.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

I make a study of Blackjack these days.
Particularly, I've been collecting winning rates gained by practical tests recently.
I would play the game in good condition if I have great strategy.

The basic strategy is NOT always correct, I think.
So its verification is necessary.
Calculating a winning rate is one of the verification.
With the data, players may have great confidence enough to beat a dealer.


Anyway, I tried the following case this morning.

A player's first hand is two 4s and a dealer's initial card is 5.

In this situation, in fact, 'split' is recommended in the basic strategy.
It's surprising, isn't it?
I didn't know it for many years.

Then why is 'split' recommended?

I have a good reason.
That's because a dealer's initial card 5 is the second weakest number and the dealer often results in a busted hand.
If so, it must be advantageous for a player to have as many hands as possible.

Besides, after split 4s, the player may get a chance to double down if he/she takes 5, 6 or 7.
And then, each of the 4s might be a scatter symbol in slot machines.
That seems exciting!

▼Practical Test (4's split vs Dealer's 5)▼

The result was not too bad.

In comparison to just hitting, the player should have occasionally got excited.

As you already notice it, the player had several opportunities to double down after splitting.

At the maximum, it's possible for the player to win fourfold.

That would be really nice!

Then I took another test in the same case.

It's about just hitting.

Many players probably do so.

▼Practical Test (two 4s hit vs Dealer's 5)▼

My friend, who also likes blackjack, said,
"We shouldn't split a pair of 4.  If taking a picture card, hand 14 is not good, is it?"

To be sure, I agree with him.
However, increasing our gaming chips is important to win the game.

In conclusion, I will basically choose 'split' and get a chance to double down.
If I can guess the next card number, I will definitely do so.

What about you?


That's all for today.

Thank you for reading my article and watching my videos.
I hope they will be useful for you to play blackjack in a casino.
Why don't we become a smarter player to beat a dealer?

I'll take more tests and keep the results and my considerations here.

Have a good weekend.  Bye.


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[Blackjack] 13 vs Dealer's 3

[Blackjack] 13 vs Dealer's 3

  16:59    Japanese Nokkie

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BS says, "Stand on 13."


Konnichiwa, minasan.

Hello, everyone.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

I went to my parent's house last Sunday.
And there, my parents and I ate okonomiyaki for dinner.

▼Being cooked▼

▼Looks delicious▼

I remember talking with a young Aussie man at Cairns Airport.

We were waiting for the check-in.

Since we were free then, we chatted with each other.

He was going to visit his friends in Japan.

I recommended to him he should try takoyaki in Osaka.

However, he replied, "I like okonomiyaki better."

He had a plan to eat it in Hiroshima.

I was surprised, because he already knew okonimiyaki well.

It is similar to pizza in appearance, but the taste is different.

In my case, I sometimes put some cheese inside it.

That's getting close to pizza.

So we call such okonomiyaki Japanese pizza.

Have you ever tried okonomiyaki before?


Anyway, I'll write about Blackjack.
Today, I took a test of 'stay' in the following case:

A player's first hand is 13 and a dealer's initial card is 3.

In this situation, 'stay' is recommended in the basic strategy.

How do you think the result will be?

▼Practical Test (13 stay against Dealer's 3)▼

Since hand 13 is not good, the result was just as I expected.

Next, I took another test in the same case.
It was about 'hit'.
Do you think it will be better than 'stay'?

▼Practical Test (13 hit against Dealer's 3)▼

As I expected, the player busted frequently.
The possibility of the player's busted is more than 38% in theory.
The player wants to avoid taking the card 9, 10 J ,Q and K.

In addition, taking low cards like A, 2 or 3 doesn't make sense.
Even if the player succeeds in avoiding busted hand, the hand is still rubbish.

The player has to take the card 4, 5, 6, 7 or 8.
The possibility in this case is also 38% in theory.

In conclusion, 'stay' is rather better than 'hit'.


That's all for today.

Thank you for reading my article and watching my videos.
I hope they will be useful.

I'll come back soon.  Bye.


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Test of my betting method (DB if BJ)

Test of my betting method (DB if BJ)

  18:27    Japanese Nokkie

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Hi, there.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.
I like Blackjack very much and make a study of it these days.

Today I devised a betting method and tried it through a practical test.

The name of the betting method is DB if BJ.
It means Doubled Bet if BlackJack.

Speaking in detail, a player makes a doubled bet if he/she gets BJ.
Besides, he/she continues it until ten games finish.

The reason why I hit upon the method is because some player occasionally gets BJ  a few times in a short period.
The possibility of getting BJ is only 4%, though.

Once a player gets BJ, I suppose that he/she might be a lucky person and get more BJ.
On the contrary,  it's quite difficult for a player who doesn't get BJ to get more BJ.

Have you ever had such experiences before?

▼Practical Test (DB if BJ)▼

I don't mention the result of the test here in my blog, though.

I hope you will take advantage of the method in order to establish your own strategy.

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[Blackjack] 12 vs Dealer's 2

[Blackjack] 12 vs Dealer's 2

  15:38    Japanese Nokkie

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BS says, "Hit 12!"


Minasan, konnichiwa.

Hi, there.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie, who studies about Blackjack to become a smarter player in the future.

Last Sunday I went to my sister's house and she showed an interesting carrot.

The carrot looked as if it danced.
My niece said, "Put its eyes on the carrot."
And then, my sister replied, "I cannot cut it if do so."
Have you ever seen such a strange shaped vegetables?


Anyway, I took a practical test today as well.

It was about the case: a player's hand is 12 and a dealer's initial card is 2.

In this situation, 'hit' is recommended in the basic strategy.

▼Practical Test (hit)▼

However, some players choose 'stay', because they guess the next card is 10.
22 bust by hitting happens frequently, doesn't it?
To be sure, avoiding bust is important.

Then, why is 'hit' recommended in the BS?
Probably 'hit' is the best choice.

To verify the effectiveness of 'hit' in this situation, I decided to take another test.

It will be about 'stay'.

Which do you think is better, 'hit' or 'stay'?

To be honest, I don't guess which is better.


Thank you for reading my article and watching my video.
I hope they will be useful.

Sayoonara, minasan.  Bye, everyone.

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[Blackjack] Two 8s vs Dealer's Ace

[Blackjack] Two 8s vs Dealer's Ace

  18:12    Japanese Nokkie

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It's one of the most difficult situations, right?


In the basic strategy of Blackjack, split is recommended.

But few players are willing to choose split in this hard situation.

Then most players tend to be stuck on deciding which action to take.

I wonder how we could win following the BS.

I conducted a Blackjack experiment to calculate the winning percentages for the three choices, split, hit and stay.

In the following video, there are 20 scenes selected from all.
The playback time is about 13min.
(Shortened the time by editing the original video.)

▼Results of Part 1▼
In Part 1, the experiment was conducted under the hole card style.

The following three graphs show the results based on the 50 data.

▼Results of Part 2▼
In Part 2, the experiment was conducted under the no hole card style.
It's more harsh than the hole card style.

The following three graphs show the results based on the 50 data.

Lastly, the following three graphs show the results based on the 100 data.

The tie is not too bad, is it?
No need to be greedy.

We would lose at a rate of about 5/6.
That's terrible!

The losing rate is almost the same as the one of Hit.

That's also terrible.

The results except for a tie are as follows:

Winning Rate

Split 29%     Hit 14%    Stay 17% 

The chip's fluctuation (Bet amount: 1 chip every time)

Split -51 chips    Hit -69 chips    Stay -66 chips

To sum up, split is the most preferable of the three choices.

If surrender is allowed, it might be the best choice.

That's all.

Hope this article will be useful.

Good luck.

Bye.

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