In this blog, there are lots of results gained by card game experiments. Blackjack, Pontoon, Caribbean Poker, etc.

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I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie. I'm a cram school teacher and normally work in the evening. When I have time, I make a study of Blackjack through taking a test practically. I wanna become a smarter blackjack player in the future. I've been seeking for a convincing rule recently.
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2017年8月18日金曜日

[Blackjack] Split a pair of 6.


Blackjack Strategy
Are there any players who like 6's split?
This chart shows the basic strategy of Blackjack.

When the player's first hand is a pair of 6 and the dealer's face-up card is 2-6, split is recommended, following the strategy.

Since number 6 is the weakest in Blackjack, few players prefer 6's split with pleasure.
Should we obey the strategy?

I conducted an Blackjack experiment on both 66 vs D6 and 66 vs D2.
And also, recorded some good scenes on video.

The former part is about 66 vs D6.
The latter part is about 66 vs D2.
The playback time is about 20 min.



The Result of 66 vs D6


The following two graphs show the results based on the 100 data.
Looks disadvantageous to the players.

The probability of losing is almost the same as the first graph.

The winning percentages except for a tie 

are as follows:

Split 42%    Stay 43%


The chip's fluctuation (Bet amount: 1 chip every time)
Split -30 chips    Stay -14 chips


To sum up, stay is more preferable than split.

One more thing.
The 3-unit win means, for example, one is a double down hand and the other is a normal hand.
Splitting 6s and taking a card of 3, 4, or 5, we will be able to double down, following the BS.

This time, there's no feature to mention particularly.
Seems like gambling at black/red in roulette.

The Result of 66 vs D2


The following two graphs show the results based on the 100 data.
Blackjack Experiment Result of split (66 vsD2)
Let's be satisfied with even 'Stand off.'

Blackjack Experiment Result of hit (66 vsD2)
It also shows the result of hitting 12 vs D's 2.
Following the BS, we should hit in this situation.
As we expected, it's not advantageous to us.

Blackjack Experiment Result of stay (66 vsD2)
It also shows the result of standing on 12 vs D's 2.
It's obvious that we are likely to be beaten.


The winning percentages except for a tie 

are as follows:

Split 47%    Hit 35%    Stay 31%


The chip's fluctuation (Bet amount: 1 chip every time)
Split -4 chips    Hit -21 chips    Stay -23 chips


To sum up, split is the most preferable choice of the three.

One more thing.
Blackjack Experiment Result of 3-unit win (66 vsD2)
There's no feature, neither.

★Considerations★

When splitting 6s vs D's 2-6, we would win at a rate of 42-47%.
That's based on the experiments.

We don't have to split 6s with reluctance.



That's all.
Hope it'll help.
Bye.


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