In this blog, there are lots of results gained by card game experiments. Blackjack, Pontoon, Caribbean Poker, etc.

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I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie. I'm a cram school teacher and normally work in the evening. When I have time, I make a study of Blackjack through taking a test practically. I wanna become a smarter blackjack player in the future. I've been seeking for a convincing rule recently.
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2017年6月27日火曜日

[BJ Strategy Match] Coward vs Mimicry


Which strategy do you think would be preferable to win?

The Coward Strategy 
1 Always stand on 12 or more 
2 Never double down nor split a pair

The difference between Coward and Defensive is as follows:
Coward cannot say surrender because he lacks courage to make a choice.
But Defensive can clearly decide whether to surrender or not.


The Mimicry Strategy 
1 Always hit 16 or less 
2 Always stand on 17 or more 

It's the same strategy as the dealer's.
They face each other, so I called the player Mimicry.


To examine which strategy is effective to win, I conducted a Blackjack experiment.

This video consists of the 25 trials.
The playback time is about 10 min.
If you're interested, check it out.


To get more precise results, I collected more 75 data.
The following graphs show the results based on the 100 data.
Blackjack experiment Result of the strategy match 1
The losing percentage is about 1/2.
As a specific feature, the player never loses on busted hands.

Blackjack Experiment Result of the strategy match 2
Contrary to Coward, Mimicry often busts his hand in a bad condition.
But his winning percentage is fairly good.



The winning rates except for a tie are as follows:

Coward 48%    Mimicry 56% 

The chip's fluctuation (Bet amount: 2 chips every time)

Coward -3 chips    Mimicry +11 chips


To sum up, Mimicry is more preferable to Coward.

If Mimicry improves his strategy a bit, for example, always stand on hand 13, the result might be better.



That's all.
Thank you for reading.
Hope this article will be useful.
If you like, give me comments, thanks.

Bye.


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