[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 6s vs Dealer's 3
Pontoon (Spanish 21) Strategy
Isn't splitting exciting in this situation?
In the basic strategy of Pontoon, hit is recommended.
But players who don't know about Pontoon well tend to stand on the pair as hand 12, as in Blackjack.
Also, others choose splitting the pair.
Which do you think is the best to win in this situation?
I conducted a Pontoon experiment to calculate the winning
percentages for all the choices.
In the video, the number of trials is 20.
After recording it, I collected more 80 data to get more precise result.
Results of the experiment
The following three graphs show the results based on the 100 data.
Since we must hit hand 14 following the BS, there were various patterns of losing by busting.
From the graph, the winning rate is just 1/2.
It's not bad.
Seemingly, hand 12 is not enough to win, Unlike in Blackjack.
10's cards are not used, so the probability of the dealer's busting is lower than in BJ.
To begin with, we should hit any hand 12 in the Pontoon BS.
However, the losing percentage of split is the lowest of all the choices.
Look at this graph.
Splitting 6s and taking 4 or 5, we will have got a double down chance.
Since the dealer's initial card is 3, in the BS, 10 or 11 double down is recommended.
Besides, we don't surrender the rubbish hand like 12-16 after doubling down.
If you're a risk-taker, why not try to split, wishing for the 3 wins?
One more photo.
In some casinos, it's considered a bonus hand.
The odds are, for example, in Aussie casinos, 3 to 2 or higher.
I observed the special hand, 5 out of 100 times during the experiment.
Isn't it attractive?
The results except for a tie
are as follows:
Winning Percentages
Hit 51% Stay 32% Split 46%
The chip's fluctuation
Hit +4 chips Stay -72 chips Split -33 chips
(Bet amount: 2 chips every time)
To sum up, it is obvious that hit is the best choice of the three.
That's all.
Hope this article will be good information to you as well.
Enjoy your Pontoon.
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