In this blog, there are lots of results gained by card game experiments. Blackjack, Pontoon, Caribbean Poker, etc.

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I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie. I'm a cram school teacher and normally work in the evening. When I have time, I make a study of Blackjack through taking a test practically. I wanna become a smarter blackjack player in the future. I've been seeking for a convincing rule recently.
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2017年7月15日土曜日

[Blackjack] 16 vs Dealer's 7


Blackjack Strategy

It's a hard time.  You surrender?
16 vs Dealer's 7 in Blackjack

In the basic strategy of Blackjackhit is recommended.
But some players choose stay or surrender.

Which choice would be the best to win?

I conducted a Blackjack experiment to calculate the winning percentages for all the choices.

In this video, there are 20 scenes selected from all the data.
The playback time is 8 min.
(Shortened the time by editing the original video.)

Results of the experiment

The following two graphs show the results based on the 100 data.
Blackjack experiment Result of hit (16 vs D7)
Hitting hand 16, we would lose by busting at a rate of 8/13 (61.5%).
That's the main factor of losing
What a hard situation!

Blackjack experiment Result of stay (16 vs D7)
That was a surprise to me.
I thought stand on 16 vs D7 was kinda lost game before this experiment.
I'm now confused about which choice to take.


The results except for a tie

 are as follows:

Winning Percentages
Hit 29%    Stay 27%

The chip's fluctuation (Bet amount: 2 chips every time)
Hit -78 chips    Stay -92 chips    Surrender -100 chips

To sum up, either choice is disadvantageous to us.
Hit is the most preferable of the three from the results.

This situation is as hard as 13 vs D2, isn't it?
Then why don't we enjoy guessing the next card number?


That' all for today.
Thank you for reading.
Bye.


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