[Pontoon, Spanish 21] Two 8s vs Dealer's Ace

[Pontoon, Spanish 21] Two 8s vs Dealer's Ace

  14:35    Japanese Nokkie

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Pontoon (Spanish 21 ) Strategy

Do you know we should hit two 8s in Pontoon?

In the basic strategy of Pontoon, hit is recommended.

In the basic strategy of Blackjack, however, split is recommended.

Why are they different?

I conducted a Pontoon experiment to calculate the winning percentages for the three choices, hit, split and stay..

In this video, there are 17 scenes selected from the 100 data.
The playback time is about 12 min.

Results of the experiment

The following graphs show the results based on the 100 data.

Surprisingly, the result is completely the same as the one in Blackjack.

Check out this article→[Blackjack] Two 8s vs Dealer's Ace

I don't know why we should follow the BS.

Compared to the other graphs, this is preferable.

During the experiment, I saw 678-21 three out of 100 times.

Besides, in some scenes, either of the two hands luckily won at hand 21 by hitting.

That's a terrible result as well in Blackjack.

The results except for a tie 

are as follows:

Winning Percentages

Hit 14%    Split 23%    Stay 18%

The chip's fluctuation
Hit -138 chips    Split -173 chips    Stay -128 chips

(Bet amount: 2 chips every time) 

To sum up, we shouldn't choose hit, following the BS.

It's difficult to clearly say which is better, split or stay.
Well, if surrender is allowed, it may be a good choice.

Considering the fluctuation, stay would be rather better than split.

When I play Pontoon in Australia, I will choose split.
Because the dealer takes the original bet only when his hand is Pontoon (Ace& any picture card).
I like the Aussie rule.

That's all.

Hope this article will be good tips to you as well.

Enjoy your Pontoon.

Good luck.