In this blog, there are lots of results gained by card game experiments. Blackjack, Pontoon, Caribbean Poker, etc.

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I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie. I'm a cram school teacher and normally work in the evening. When I have time, I make a study of Blackjack through taking a test practically. I wanna become a smarter blackjack player in the future. I've been seeking for a convincing rule recently.
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2017年7月6日木曜日

[Pontoon Strategy Battle] BS vs Coward vs Mimcry


Is BS the best strategy of the three?
Pontoon Experiment of Strategy Battle 01

This article is NOT about Blackjack, BUT about Pontoon (Spanish 21).

The opponents against BS are as follows:

One is Coward Strategy.
1  Stand on hand 12 or more regardless of Dealer's face-up card.
2  Never double down nor split a pair.

The other is Mimicry Strategy.(Dealer's Strategy)
1  Always stand on hard 17 or more.
2  Always hit hard 16 or less.


I conducted a Pontoon experiment to calculate the winning percentages of each strategy.

The following video consists of the 20 games.
The playback time is about 10 min.
(I shortened a few minutes by editing the original video.)

After recording the video, I collected more 80 data, and then got 100 data in all.

The following graphs show the results based on the 100 data.
Pontoon Experiment Result of Coward Strategy
In this strategy, we can avoid defeats by busted hands.
For example, occasionally win at hand 14 against Dealer's 9.

Pontoon Experiment Result of Mimicry Strategy
When we feel the dealer is so strong, some of us might imitate his strategy.
However, the winning rate is not good as we expect.
That's why the player loses by his busted hands before the dealer's turn.
At that time, even though the dealer busts his hand, the player is not a winner.

Pontoon Experiment Result of Basic Strategy
Unlike the BS of Blackjack, the Pontoon BS is quite complicated.
For example, the player must hit hand 13 against Dealer's 5.
During this experiment, the player got 5-card-21 only once.
This is a merit by hitting.


The results except for a tie are as follows:

Winning Rate

Coward 42%    Mimicry 42%    BS 43%


The chip's fluctuation (Bet amount: 2 chips every time)

Coward -26 chips    Mimicry -23 chips    BS -23 chips


To sum up, we cannot decide which strategy is the best based on just the results.


That's all.
Hope this article will be useful.
Thanks for reading.
Have a nice day.
Bye.

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