In this blog, there are lots of results gained by card game experiments. Blackjack, Pontoon, Caribbean Poker, etc.

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I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie. I'm a cram school teacher and normally work in the evening. When I have time, I make a study of Blackjack through taking a test practically. I wanna become a smarter blackjack player in the future. I've been seeking for a convincing rule recently.
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2017年7月12日水曜日

[Blackjack Strategy Battle] BS vs Fif-St vs Aggressive


Strategy Battle

Is BS the best strategy of the three?

Is the basic strategy of Blackjack the best one? (Part 02)

The opponents against BS are as follows:

One is Fif-St Strategy.
1  Hit hard 14 or less
2  Stand on hard 15 or more.
3  Never double down nor split a pair.

Fif-St means Fifteen-Stay.
Standing on hand 15, the busted rate would highly decrease.
In other words, hitting hand 15, we would lose at a rate of about 54% in theory.
This strategy was made by improving the coward strategy.

The other is Aggressive Strategy.
1  Hit hard 16 or less
2  Stand on hard 17 or more.
3  Doubles  down and splits a pair as much as possible if allowed.

Following this strategy, the player must double down on hand 9 against dealer's Ace, or must split a pair of 4 against Dealer's 9, for instance.


I conducted a Blackjack experiment to calculate the winning percentages of each strategy.

In the following video, there are 20 scenes selected from all.
The playback time is about 16 min.
(I shortened a few minutes by editing the original video.)

Results of the experiment

The following graphs show the results based on the 100 data.
Blackjack Experiment Result of the Fif-St strategy
The result was a little worse than the one of the Coward Strategy.
It might be better to use the coward strategy against Dealer's low cards.

Blackjack Experiment Result of the Aggressive strategy
The result was much better than the past (against the Defensive Strategy).
The winning rates seem to depend on great luck for doubling or splitting.

Blackjack Experiment Result of the basic strategy
Compared to the Battle 01, the result got worse.
However, it is not too bad.

The results except for a tie

 are as follows:

Winning Rate

Fif-St 47%    Aggressive 46%    BS 48%


The chip's fluctuation (Bet amount: 2 chips every time)

Fif-St -8 chips    Aggressive -6 chips    BS 0 chip


To sum up, BS is the best strategy of the three.

Then BS wins two battles in a row so far.
I wonder if BS is the best strategy after all.


That's all.
I hope this article will be useful.
Thank you for reading it.
Bye.


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