In this blog, there are lots of results gained by card game experiments. Blackjack, Pontoon, Caribbean Poker, etc.

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I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie. I'm a cram school teacher and normally work in the evening. When I have time, I make a study of Blackjack through taking a test practically. I wanna become a smarter blackjack player in the future. I've been seeking for a convincing rule recently.
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2017年7月19日水曜日

[Blackjack Strategy Battle] BS vs Greedy vs Fif-Surre


Strategy Battle

Is BS the best strategy of the three?

The opponents against BS are as follows:

One is Greedy Strategy.
1  Always double down nor split a pair if allowed.
2  Basically follow the basic strategy.

The other is Fif-Surre Strategy.
1  Hit 14 or less.
2  Surrender on 15 or 16.
3  Stand on 17 or more.
4  Never double down nor split a pair.

Fif-Surre means Fifteen-Surrender
Most players know hand 15 or 16 is disadvantageous to win.
In this strategy, we're thoroughly defensive against the two week hands.


I conducted a Blackjack experiment to calculate the winning percentages of each strategy.

In the following video, there are 20 scenes selected from all.
The playback time is about  15 min.
(I shortened a few minutes by editing the original video.)


Results of the experiment

The following graphs show the results based on the 100 data.
This strategy is a kind of oddity.
Actually the player split 2s against Dealer's 10.
Besides, doubling down after the splitting.
The winning rate is somehow not bad, is it?

Surrender on 15 or 16 is preferable under a terrible condition.
However, the winning rate is not good.
Actually, the player chose surrender 28 out of 100 times.
Isn't it many times?

Look at this graph.
The surrender was successful at a rate of about 2/3.
It may be a good result.
On the other hand, the player sometimes failed to have a chance to gain chips because of the frequent surrender.

Blackjack Experiment Result of BS (Strategy Battle 03)
This time the result was the worst of the past three.
I think it sometimes happens.
It's almost the same result as Greedy's.


The results except for a tie

 are as follows:

Winning Rate

Fif-Surre 33%    Greedy 45%    BS 44%


The chip's fluctuation (Bet amount: 2 chips every time)

Fif-Surre -35 chips    Greedy -13 chips    BS -15 chip


To sum up, Greedy is the most preferable of the three.
However, there's not a big difference of the two results, Greedy & BS.


Then BS wins two battles & loses one battle so far.


That's all.
I hope this article will be interesting.
Thank you for reading it.
Bye.


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