[Blackjack] Two Aces vs Dealer's 10

[Blackjack] Two Aces vs Dealer's 10

  18:58    Japanese Nokkie

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Is hitting two Aces ridiculous?


Hi, there.

I'm Nokkie.

A Youtube viewer from the United States gave comment to me.
He pointed out that I hadn't resplit the hand a few times during the test.
Normally, they are allowed to split three times and make 4 hands in the US.
It's a new information to me.

Then I thought whether to resplit a hand on the next test.
To be sure, it is sometimes beneficial to the players, though.
That depends on the situations.

In my opinion, it's sufficient to split a pair just once, even if we are allowed to do it more.
Some players say, "I should have resplit, and we could have won more." after the game is over.
There is no point in regretting what we have done.


Anyway, I'll move on to the main topic.
Do you definitely split a pair of Ace in Blackjack?

The topic is about two Aces vs Dealer's 10.

In the basic strategy, split Aces is recommended regardless of Dealer's face-up card.
But some players choose hit, not split in this situation.
They might guess the next card would be low number.

I have never chosen hit two-ace hand.
I wonder we shouldn't do that.


Updated below

I conducted a test practically in order to examine which choice is better.

First, I took the test with hole-card style.

▼Experiment 1▼

I got some good results based on 50 data gained by the experiment.
The winning rate shown at the end of the video doesn't include a tie.

▼Detailed Result 1▼
The following two graphs show the percentages of each outcome.

Next, I took the same test with European Style (no hole card).
In the following video, Japanese language is used.

▼Experiment 2▼

I collected more 50 data from experiment 2 as well.
The winning rate shown at the end of the video doesn't include a tie.

▼Detailed Result 2▼
The following two graphs show the percentages of each outcome.

Lastｌｙ, the following two graphs show the results based on the 100 data.

We are likely to have one-win, one-loss, and then even in total.

Isn't it good not to lose?

We wanna avoid losing double, don't we?

From the graph, we would lose once every twice.

Observed AA+10+10=22 several times during the test.

It's a painful defeat!

The results except for a tie are as follows:

Winning Rate

Split 45%  Hit 42%

The chip's fluctuation

Split -9 chips　Hit -14 chips

To sum up, splitting Aces is a bit better than hit.

The renewal is done.

Thank you for reading.

I'll go to another article to make it better.

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[Blackjack] Two 3s vs Dealer's 7

[Blackjack] Two 3s vs Dealer's 7

  17:54    Japanese Nokkie

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Split it, and you may get 3-unit-win.


Hi, there.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.
I make a study of Blackjack because I wanna be a smarter player in the future.

Today, I took a practical test of the following case:

A player's first hand is a pair of 3 and a dealer's initial card is 7.

In the basic strategy, split is recommended.
But some players don't like splitting and choose hit 6 (two 3s).

How do you think which choice will be effective to win?

First, I conducted the test in the American Style.

▼Practical Test (American's)▼

Next, I conducted it in the European Style.
There's no hole card this time.
In this video, Japanese language is mainly used.

▼Practical Test (European's)▼

From the results gained by the tests, I can say that split is better than hit.

When splitting, the winning percentage is calculated about 56% in total, except for a tie.
The chip's fluctuation is positive 11 chips (40→51).

The following graph shows the percentages considering a tie.

On the other hand, when hitting, the winning percentage is calculated about 39% in total, except for a tie.
The chip's fluctuation is negative 8 chips (40→32).

The next shows the percentages considering a tie.

The number of the trials were just 40 in total.

The interesting thing that I wanna tell you is that the player won triple 6 times out of 40 times.
That seems quite exciting, doesn't it?

Playing in a real casino, I will definitely split it.
It's a deal.


That's all.
I hope you will be interested in my articles.
I'll be back soon.
Have a nice day.


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[Blackjack Betting System] S-Martingale American Style

[Blackjack Betting System] S-Martingale American Style

  18:51    Japanese Nokkie

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Hi, every player in the world.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie, who likes casino games very much.
Unfortunately, there are no legal casinos in Japan so far.
I cannot play the games easily.
When I wanna do it, I need to go to countries where there are legal ones.

I have been into making a study of Blackjack recently.
I wanna be a smarter blackjack player in the future.

Anyway, I'm going to write about betting system.
The other day, I introduced Finite Martingale Betting System here in this blog.

This time, I devised a new one.
Its name is Stage Martingale Betting System.

At the beginning of the following video, I outlined the rule.
Check it out if you are interested.

▼Practical Test (American Style Part 1)▼

In gambling, a betting system is very important.

Many players think Martingale Betting System is dangerous.
If it is, however, devised better, I believe it will become less dangerous.
In addition, It may also become a convincing betting system.

The result was a bit successful this time.
Next time, I will continue the same test.
The 3rd shoe will be coming soon.

I hope it will be successful.


That's all.
I'll be right back.
Looking forward to reporting a wonderful result to you.

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[Blackjack] Two Aces vs Dealer's Ace

[Blackjack] Two Aces vs Dealer's Ace

  9:45    Japanese Nokkie

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The three Aces brings good luck?


Hi, there.

I reset my profile of this blog.
Check it out if you like.

Recently I've started Twitter.
Aside from a large number of tweets in a short period by a certain twitterer, it's an interesting and useful IT tool.
In my case, I don't get used to doing it yet.
I write something or attach my videos at a slow pace so far.


Anyway, I'll move on to the main subject.
It's about the Blackjack strategy.

When a player's first hand is a pair of Ace and a dealer's initial card is also Ace, split is recommended in the basic strategy of Blackjack.

Many players will hesitate about which action they should take.
Do you follow the BS and split the pair?

In my case, I will split it with concern, wishing for just one win.
If the game results in drawn one, that's satisfying to us, isn't it?

▼Practical Test▼

The results were not bad unexpectedly.

Before the test, I guessed the winning percentages would be 20% or so.
From the chip's fluctuation, I can clearly say that split is better than hit.

After all, I cannot choose hit in this situation.
If the two next cards are 10s, my hand ends up 22 busted.
That really feels empty.


I'll stop here for the present.
I have a plan to take another test in the European no hole style afterwards.
Of course, in the same situation.

I'll be back soon.

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[Blackjack] Two 10s vs Dealer's 6

[Blackjack] Two 10s vs Dealer's 6

  19:43    Japanese Nokkie

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What do you think of splitting 10s?


Hi,there.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.
I like casino games very much.
I've been into making studies of card games, Blackjack and Pontoon this year.
I wanna memorize the basic strategies properly and examine how effective they are.

In short, my dream is to make better strategies for me and to play with them in a real casino.


Today I'm going to write about the strategy of Blackjack.
In the BS, stay is recommended when a player's first hand is a pair of 10 regardless of a dealer's initial card.

However, some players split the pair and other players on the same table are mad about the splitting.

In my case, I never split 10s.
I saw some young Aussie players splitting it before.
They usually did it without hesitation, and never seemed to mind the noise from the complainers.
I envy such a personality.

Anyway, I conducted a test practically about the case:
A player's first hand is a pair of 10 and a dealer's initial card is 6.

▼Practical Test▼

From the results gained by the test, I can say that stay is much better than split.

However, the chip's fluctuation doesn't differ much.

After splitting 10s, the hands are like two kinds of 10-double.
Therefore the winning percentage of split is not so bad.

The reason why the young Aussie players split 10s might be that they believe they could get additional winning chips like hand BJ if Ace is drawn to their split hand.

As you already know, when the first two cards are 21 (Ace & any of 10, J, Q, K), the hand is considered blackjack.
And then, the odds are 3 to 2.

Any 21 after splitting, however, is NOT blackjack, but normal 21.
So the odds are 1 to 1.

If this is a new tip to the players, they should be known.
If I were near them, I could tell it to them.
Besides, I wanna talk about my test results.

If he/she still tries to split the pair, that's his/her decision.
We should accept it.
As they say, there's no accounting for tastes.


That's all for today.
I hope this article will be interesting to you.
If you have anything interesting, I wanna know it.

Thank you.  Have a good weekend.


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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 3s vs Dealer's 8

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 3s vs Dealer's 8

  15:45    Japanese Nokkie

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Pontoon (Spanish 21) Strategy

Are you willing to split 3s?


Hi, there.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.
I like casino games very much.

I'm going write about Pontoon strategy today as well.

When a player's first hand is a pair of 3 and a dealer's initial card is 8, which action do you usually choose, split or hit?

In the basic strategy of Pontoon, split is recommended.
However, there are some players who don't like 3's splitting.

As the BS shows, I wonder if split is effective in this situation.
In the BS of Blackjack, it is not recommended, but stay is.
They are different.

I conducted a Pontoon experiment to calculate the winning percentages for both choices.
Same as usual, I used 8 decks of cards..
Actually, I don't always use all of them.

How do you think the result will be?

Results of the experiment

From the results gained by the test, I can say that split is better than hit.
We should follow the BS.

A pair of 3 is hand 6, so it's considered the weakest of all.
Splitting the pair, we will have two hand 3 and avoid holding the weakest.

Since the dealer's upcard is 8, which is rather strong, it would be all right not to lose money.
In my case, I would be satisfied with stand-off (one win and one loss) in this situation.

We should play with patience and wait for a big chance to win a lot.
We don't have to be in a hurry, right?


That's all for today.
If you have any questions or any request, please feel free to contact me, thanks.
Have a pleasant day.  Bye.


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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two Aces vs Dealer's 10

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two Aces vs Dealer's 10

  19:07    Japanese Nokkie

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Splitting Aces in this situation is scary, isn't it?


Hello, everyone.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.
I like casino games very much, but there's no casinos in Japan so far.
I just enjoy it when traveling to overseas where there are legal casinos.

I wanna be a smarter player and to win a huge amount of money someday.
To realize my dream, I make a study of casino games these days.

My favorite is Blackjack.
Pontoon is also a lot of fun for me.


Today's topic is about Pontoon strategy.
When a player's first hand is a pair of Aces and a dealer's initial card is 10, which do you usually choose, hit or split?

In the basic strategy of Pontoon, hit is recommended.
It's under European no hole card.

I need to try the European's, because I wanna play Pontoon in Australia.
As far as I know, Pontoon game in Australia is conducted with the European's.

But if we double down or split, the original bet amount will be taken when losing at Dealer's Pontoon (Ace & any picture).
It's beneficial to us.

However, I conducted a practical test in the harsh European style.

I didn't know the strategy, and definitely split Aces without checking Dealer's initial card before.
I'm skeptical about whether hit is effective to win.
What do you think?

▼Practical Test▼

The number of trials were 31 and it's no so large, though.
I think we can give credit to the results to some extent.

From the results, split was better than hit.
I can say that the b is NOT necessarily good to win.

One more thing, splitting often leads to being drawn.
The winning percentage was calculated except drawn games.

In this situation, I will be all right to take only one picture card for either of the two split hands.
Do you agree with me?


That's all.
Good luck for your splitting.
Bye.


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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 4s vs Dealer's 5

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 4s vs Dealer's 5

  18:42    Japanese Nokkie

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Splitting 4s is unexpectedly interesting.


Hi, there.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.
I like casino games such as Blackjack, Pontoon, Roulette and Slot machines.

I got up at about 5:30 this morning in order to create videos.
It is normally silent outdoors on weekdays early in the morning.
I can do it in comfort, thanks to such a good environment.


Today I conducted a test of Pontoon strategy.
It was about splitting a pair of 4 against Dealer's 5.

In the basic strategy of Pontoon, hit is recommended.
However, split is recommended in the BS of Blackjack.
I wondered why they were different.

That's why I decided to take a practical test of it.

▼Practical Test▼

From the results gained by the test, split is also recommended in Pontoon as well.
During the test, I felt it interesting, because the player had lots of chances to double down.

Since number 4 is rather small, it can make 10 or 11 easily.
For example, 4+6, 4+7, 4+3+3, 4+4+3, etc.

You should choose split if you like double down.
You will have a hell of time if both of your split hands would become hand 21 by doubling.
That time will never come unless you split.


That's all for today.
Tell me if you have a hell of time in casino games.

Take care.  Bye.


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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] 12 vs Dealer's 6

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] 12 vs Dealer's 6

  10:17    Japanese Nokkie

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In Pontoon BS, we should always hit hard 12.

Konbanwa.

Good evening.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

These days I make a study of Pontoon, because its strategy is complicated.

Today I am going to write about the following case:

A player first hand is 12 and a dealer's initial card is 6.

In this situation, stay is recommended in the basic strategy of Blackjack.

However, hit is recommended in the basic strategy of Pontoon.

They are different.

However, I saw many players choose stay without hesitation in casinos.

Since there is no 10's cards in Pontoon, we cannot expect the dealer to bust more than in Blackjack.

But I wonder that stay is still better.

That's why I decided to take a test of the case.

▼Practical Test▼

During the test, I just concentrated myself on the game.
I forgot the time.
The number of the trials is 64.
It's so many!

The liability for the result seems high.
Although the BS says we should choose hit, I have to say that stay is better.

Drawing a card of 10, we will feel bad with hand 22.
Besides, drawing a card A, 2, 3, or 4, those cards will be useless in most cases.

Then what should we do?
In my case, I will take a card when the previous card was either of 5-9.
That's just my prediction.
Have you ever seen specified cards several times in a row?

If the last card is 9, I predict another 9 will come out.
It will happen.
That's the feature of the cards.
What do you think?


That's all for today.
I'd be glad if you would give me some comments.
That motivates me to keep the blog, thanks.

Have a pleasant day.  Take care.


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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 7s vs Dealer's 2

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 7s vs Dealer's 2

  7:58    Japanese Nokkie

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This splitting might bring you great wealth.

Ohyoo-gozaimasu.

Good morning.

I'm a Japanese, Nokkie.

I have a habit of waking up early.

Actually I get up at about 6:00 these days.

First, I have breakfast, and then I make a video about blackjack.

It is silent outside, so I can do it comfortably.

Anyway, today I'm going to write about Pontoon, not Blackjack.

When a player's first hand is a pair of 7 and a dealer's initial card is 2, what action do you take?

In the basic strategy of Pontoon, split is recommended.

However, are many players willing to do it?

Some choose hit , and others choose stay.

I'm curious about whether split is the best of the three choices.

I conducted a practical test about this case and calculated the winning percentages for each.

▼Practical Test▼

After finishing the test, I found out that splitting the pair in this situation is better and much more interesting.

After splitting it, the player had many opportunities to double down.
Drawing a card of 4, he can try 11-double.
Drawing a card of 3, he can try 10-double.
The probability is unexpectedly high that they will happen.

In addition, the player succeeded in getting 678-21 three times out of 25 trials.
As you know, he is paid 1.5 times the original bet amount, just as Blackjack hand.

Therefore, there are some advantages in 7's split against 2.
I will definitely do it in a real casino.


That's all for today.
Thank you for reading and watching.
Have a good day.  Bye.


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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] 16 vs Dealer's 7

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] 16 vs Dealer's 7

  18:12    Japanese Nokkie

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Can you hit it without hesitation?

Ohayoo-gozaimasu.

Good morning.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

I'm a big fan of blackjack game.

To be a smarter blackjack player, I have been studying it recently.

I wanna go playing it in a real casino.

Japan has no legal casinos so far.

The topic today is about Pontoon, not Blackjack.

In some areas, they call it Spanish 21.

I didn't know that.

Since the basic strategy of Pontoon is complicated, I need to study it harder.

Fortunately, I can learn it by heart through creating videos.

This time, I conducted a test of the following case:

A player's first hand is 16 and a dealer's initial card is 7.

In the basic strategy, hit is recommended.

It's just same as in Blackjack.

However, some players hate hitting hand 16, and definitely stay at it.

That's why I decided to take the test.

What' the winning percentage?

▼Practical Test▼

The results for both were not good just as I expected.
To begin with, hand 16 is fully weak.
Everybody understands it well.

If surrender is allowed in this situation, are you willing to do it?

In my case, no, I will NOT choose it, but hit.
I have good reasons.
If we can take 2, 3, 4, or 5, the probability of our winning will be rapidly raised.
Because the dealer's first card is 7.

However, against Dealer's 10 or Ace, we cannot expect it.
In this hard situation, we should be ready to be a loser or surrender.
That can't be helped.


That's all.
Thank you for reading my article and watching the video.
I hope they will be useful.

Take care.


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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 8s vs Dealer's 10

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 8s vs Dealer's 10

  14:48    Japanese Nokkie

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Aren't you excited about this splitting?

Konnichiwa.

Good afternoon.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

It's hot like summer here in my place.

It's about 2:00 in the afternoon.

My student will come here to make his self-study for the mid-term exam.

In fact, I possess a school called juku.

You can also call it a cram school.

I'm a teacher and take care of junior high school students.

Today I will keep the blog while looking after the student.

Anyway, I'll move on to the main subject.

Today, I'm going to write about the basic strategy of Pontoon.

Which action do you take when you have two 8s and the dealer's initial card is 10?

The BS says, "Split the pair."

Do you obey it or not?

It's the same strategy as the one in Blackjack.

In my case, I will NOT be willing to do it, though.

I like it the best of the three choices, because the game may be exciting to the players..

For example, that may bring us double down after the splitting, etc.

How do you think the game will proceed?

Same as usual, I conducted a practical test in this case.

▼Practical Test▼

The winning percentage in splitting the pair was better than I expected.

On the contrary, the one in staying was terrible.
I will never choose 'stay' against Dealer's 10.
I will not, in any hand 16, either.

I like the two 8s in Pontoon better than that in Blackjack
I expect either of the split hands to be 678-21.
Then I will be able to get 3 to 2 bonus.
Its odds are just same as BJ.
That's great, isn't it?

Let's expect it.
Let's encourage a player who's doing it.

In Japan, number 8 implies something good.
Using number 8, some Japanese people believe that we will have a good tie with someone and make good friends or the above.
'Forever' is a suitable word for number 8.
So we shouldn't break it in hitting or be easily beat without any action, I mean staying 16.

That's all for today.
I enjoyed writing this time as well.
I hope it will be interesting to you.

I'll be right back.  Bye.


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F-Martingale 10-20-30 Part 4-5

F-Martingale 10-20-30 Part 4-5

  20:49    Japanese Nokkie

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Hi, there.

I'm Nokkie.

I'm a Japanese guy and a big fan of Blackjack.


Are you interested in foreign exchange trading?
In my case, I have been doing it for about 5 years.
In Japan, we call it FX.
I wonder how I should call it in English?

These days, Japanese yen is getting stronger.
When there's any problems in the world, yen, US dollar and Swiss Fran become strong, right?
This time, many traders seem to worry about the politics in the U.S.
I got the information about it from the news.

I hope such an uncertainty will disappear as immediately as possible, because I possess some rand of South Africa by selling yen.


Anyway, I'll move on to today's topic.

Last time, the betting system was successful under the American style.
I was pleased with it and wanted to try it in a real casino, if there's one nearby.

However, I must not be satisfied with the success.
It happened just 1 time.
I understand the necessity of more results gained by taking the same test.

This time I conducted the test in the European style.
The European's is a more strict rule than the American's.

If the betting system becomes successful under a strict rule, I will be able to tell you more clearly that its liability is high.
How do you think the result will be this time?

The difference between the two styles is that doubling down at any soft hand is NOT allowed, but at hand 9, 10 or 11 only.

▼Practical Test Part 4▼

▼Practical Test Part 5▼

I cannot mention the results of the test in detail in writing.

As a matter of course, there is not a perfect gambling system.
If there is one, it's obvious that every player wins easily and casinos will disappear.

However, we can make a convincing gambling rule.
That depends on the players.
I strongly believe that the most important thing is to have such a good rule and follow it properly.


That's all for today.
I'd be glad if you agree with me.

Thank you and have a good weekend.
Bye.


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[Blackjack] F-Martingale 10-20-30 Part 3

[Blackjack] F-Martingale 10-20-30 Part 3

  19:06    Japanese Nokkie

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Konbanwa, minasan.

Good evening, everyone.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.
I'm the one who is a big fan of casino blackjack.
It never gets boring to me so far.

It is a simple game, but there are many ways of playing it.
For example, its strategy, how to bet, etc.

I make a study of how to bet these days.
I believe that it's as important as the strategy.

If we keep making a minimum bet, we will be a loser eventually because of the house edge.
According to the information from the Internet, the house edge of Blackjack is approximately 1.5%.
Therefore, the probability of a player's winning is 48.5% or so.
It's NOT just 50%.

Then what should we do to win?

In my opinion, we should change the bet amount as largely as possible.
Extremely speaking, we normally bets 10 dollars and occasionally bets 500 dollars.
The difference between the bet amounts is 490 dollars.
It's quite large!

It is not easy for every player to bet such a big amount.
However, we can do it if we have a convincing rule.
I was able to do it before.

Even if we lose 500 dollars just for 1 game, we are merely unlucky.
To be sure, it was a failure, but we can say it is successful if we follows our rules properly.

That's why I devised the betting system.
Its name is Finite Martingale 10-20-30.

The player normally bets only 2 chips every time.
If he wins at hand 21, he will start the betting system.

I started to conduct a practical test of it a few days ago.
The six shoes are already finished and the player earned 15 chips so far.

His aim is to make his starting chips double.
Since he started with 150 chips, he needs to gain another 150 chips.

The following video consists of the three shoes (from the 7th to the 9th).
About 75% of 8 decks of cards are used. (same as usual)

How do you think the test will proceed?

▼Practical Test Part 3▼

Through the test, I realized the importance of the betting system.
We had better not make a slapdash betting.
Some players bet a big amount with anger.

Besides, you shouldn't drink at all during your playing if you really wanna win.
You should drink anything after winning.

Whether the test was successful or not, no comment here this time.
Check out the video above.

Try it if you like.
But it's on your own responsibility.


That's all.
Thank you for reading and watching.
Bye.


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F-Martingale 10-20-30 Part 2

F-Martingale 10-20-30 Part 2

  20:33    Japanese Nokkie

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Konbanwa.

Good evening.
I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.
Blackjack is my favorite casino game.

I watched a TV program last night.
It was about foreigners who visits Japan.
For example, A TV staff talks to some foreigner at Narita Airport and asks them why they came to Japan.
One answers, "We came here to have a wedding ceremony in a special situation."
The couple looked for a place appropriate to meet their satisfaction.
They succeeded in finding a good one after a long search.
They held the ceremony at the bridge in a Japanese garden.
They seemed satisfied with it.
I envy the couple.


Anyway, I'll move on to today's topic.
It's about the same as last one.
It's about my new betting system.
Its name is Finite Martingale 10-20-30.

If the player wins at hand 21, he will start the betting system.
He never decreases his chips unless he loses three times in a row or loses at doubling down or splitting.
I suppose that hand 21 might bring the player a good wave of winning.
That's why I devised this system.

I continued where I left off last time.
The following video also consists of the three shoes.
How do you think the game will proceed?

▼Practical Test Part 2▼

During the test,  I met with some interesting situations and enjoyed them.
One example was that the player won double at a rubbish hand due to the dealer's busted hand.
Besides, he put a big amount on the betting.

Although I don't bet real money, I was excited.
I hoped this betting system would do well.

If the player succeeds in gaining double, I mean the earnings is 150 chips (150 chips to 300 chips),
I can say this betting system will be successful.
However, I need to get more good results to raise its reliability.

I wanna play Blackjack in a real casino with my betting system someday.


That's all.
Thank you for reading this article and watching the video.

I'll be right back.
Bye.


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F-Martingale 10-20-30 Part 1

F-Martingale 10-20-30 Part 1

  20:15    Japanese Nokkie

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Konbanwa.

Good evening.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

I like Blackjack very much and make a study of it these days.

This time, I devised a new betting system.
I conducted a practical test in order to examine whether the betting system is effective.

Its name is Finite Martingale 10-20-30.
If a player wins at hand 21, he will start the betting system.
Basically, he bets 2 chips every time.

He must follow the basic strategy (BS).
He starts with 150 chips and ends with 300 chips or more.
As a matter of course, he will have to finish if he loses all his chips.

My last betting system was a failure, so I expect it to be successful.

The following video (Part 1) consists of three shoes (1st to 3rd).

▼Practical Test (Part 1)▼

I felt the number of the player's hand 21 was much less than his hand 20.

The player cannot have hand 21 without hitting, except for hand BJ.

To make hand 21, his first hand must be 16 or below.

Therefore, the player occasionally needs to wait for the betting system long time.

During the time, he just puts 2 chips on every bet.

It's a bit boring, but he doesn't have to be nervous.

I'm going to continue the test tomorrow.

That's all.

To be continued.

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[Blackjack] soft 18 vs Dealer's 2

[Blackjack] soft 18 vs Dealer's 2

  22:08    Japanese Nokkie

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Do you double down on soft hand?


Doomo.

Hi.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

I envy people who can play casino games legally.
As you may know, casino gambling in Japan is illegal so far.
Online casino is allowed, but I'm not interested in it.
I love live casinos.

I bet you are enjoying yourself on Saturday night, aren't you?
In casino, not only can we enjoy gambling but also other things such as just looking at other's play, chatting and drinking with friends or relatives, disco and so on.

I wish I lived in a town where there's a legal casino.
Since it can't be helped, I just put myself in making a study of casino games, particularly blackjack.

I also like roulette.
I used to put chips on zero or around, for example, 26,0,32.
It's an European roulette.
There's a single zero, but double zero.


Anyway, I'll move on to today's topic.

Oh, I suddenly get tired.
I'll continue to write tomorrow.

I'm back.
I got surprised at the Youtube analysis.
The number of visitors to my blackjack videos has rapidly increased!
I'm quite motivated by the number.

Not only the number but also the play time inspires me to keep on creating a new video.
I'm very happy to have comrades who also make a study of BJ.
Since I cannot play it in a live casino here in Japan, I hope my comrades will succeed in winning it instead of me.


By the way, I almost forgot the topic.
It is about soft hands of Blackjack.
There are two kinds of the case.

One is when a player's first hand is soft 18 and a dealer's initial card is 2.

In the basic strategy, 'stay' is recommended, not 'double down'.

This time, I conducted a test practically in American Style and examined the difference between the two choices, 'stay' and 'double down'.

Which choices do you think is better?

▼Practical Test (Soft 18 vs Dealer's 2)▼

I realized that Dealer's 2 is strong to some extent.
I felt a big difference between 2 and 3.
Against Dealer's 3-6, in this situation, 'double down' is recommended, though.
We should be careful of Dealer's 2.

The other case is when a player's first hand is soft 13 and a dealer's initial card is 5.

In the BS, 'double down' is recommended if it is allowed.
In my case, I don't get used to doing it, though.
I'm interested in it.

I conducted another test and got the winning percentages for the two choices, 'double down' and just 'hit'.

Which do you think is better?

▼Practical Test (Soft 13 vs Dealer's 5)▼

As I expected, a 10's card often appeared when doubling.
That's meaningless, though.
We will win if the dealer's hand busts fortunately.
In this situation, Dealer's 5 is quite weak.

From the test result, I have to say that we shouldn't double down, though.
If you are in good condition of your luck, doubling may get exciting to you.
In addition, you may also be admired by other players if you succeed in taking a card of 8!
That'll be comfortable.


That's all for today.
I have been enjoying keeping this blog.
It takes more time to write in English since it is not my first language.
This blog is one of my interests and also my English learning tool.

Thank you for reading my article and watching my videos.
How were they?
If you like, please comment.


Have a nice day.  Bye.


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[Blackjack] Two 5s vs Dealer's 6

[Blackjack] Two 5s vs Dealer's 6

  22:03    Japanese Nokkie

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What about splitting a pair of 5?


Konbanwa, minasan.

Good evening, everyone.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

Just two months have passed since I started Youtube Channel, Nokkie's Blackjack English Ver.
A few persons followed the channel recently.
I appreciate it!
I'm motivated, thanks to them.
If one of them is reading this article now, I really wanna say "Arigatoo Gozaimasu"  to you, while bowing in Japanese style.


Anyway, today's topic is about the strategy of Blackjack.
According to the basic strategy, splitting a pair of 5 is forbidden.
Against Dealer's 9 or below, doubling down is recommended.
Actually, many players do that.

However, some choose 'split', especially younger generations do, I guess.
They might be adventurers.
Sometimes other players complain of their brave decision.
I have seen some young Aussie guys being complained of it before.
Most of them were just quiet and had no reaction.
I think they were concentrating themselves on playing.

In my case, I have never split 5s, but I'm curious about it.
That's why I decided to make a study of it this time.

I collected lots of data from two kinds of practical tests about the case;

A player's first hand is two 5s and a dealer's initial card is 6.

In the BS, to say nothing of it, double down is recommended.
To any hand 10 as well as two 5s, we should double down.

First, I conducted the test in European Style.

▼Practical Test (European's)▼

I learned a lot from the test.
Unexpectedly, the result of splitting the pair was quite good!
Now I can agree with the Aussie young guys.

Most players might assume that they are very likely to take a card of 10 if hitting.
So they don't choose 'split', do they?

However, the probability of taking a card of 10 is about 33% in theory.
Even though we know this percentage, many of us don't wanna choose 'split'.
To be honest, I am one of them.

▼Practical Test (American's)▼

From the result gained by this test, I can say that double down is better than split.
The result in European style was kind of unusual.
The dealer happened to be unlucky.
However, I wonder that it will be pretty comfortable when winning fourfold.

After all, I will make a choice of double down if having a pair of  5.

What about you?


That's all for today.
Thank you for reading my article and watching my videos.
I hope they will be useful for your playing.

I'll be right back.
Have a good holiday.
Bye.


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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] soft 18 vs Dealer's 9

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] soft 18 vs Dealer's 9

  11:05    Japanese Nokkie

---

Soft 18 is occasionally trouble, isn't it?


Ohayoo, minasan.

Morning, everyone.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

These days I'm into Pontoon Game.

The other day I talked with my casino friend, Tak, on Line Call.

He traveled in some Asian countries last month.

He played Pontoon at the casino in Cebu Island in the Philippines. 

In spite of his betting at minimum, he succeeded in winning 20,000 pesos.

It deserves about 400 US dollars.

That's great!

He just kept the minimum bet.

He talked about the experience in the casino in detail with joy.

That's why I prefer Pontoon to Blackjack nowadays.

In fact, I'm not entirely familiar with the basic strategy of Pontoon.

As you may already know, it's much more complicating than that of Blackjack.

I will make a study of it while making videos of Pontoon Game.

Anyway, I'll move on to today's topic.
It's about soft 18 against Dealer's 9.

Do you take a card or stay?

According to the chart of the BS, we should choose 'Hit' in this situation.
To be sure, it's same as in Blackjack.
Do you know that?

I took a test of 'hit' and 'stay' , and calculated the winning percentages for both choices.
Which do you think is better?

▼Practical Test▼

From the result gained by the test, 'stay' is better than 'hit'.
The player drew a card of 3 only one time, choosing 'hit'.
It was unfortunate.

On the other hand, he got 5-card-21 just once.
It was a really nice hand and its odds are 3 to 2 just like the ones of BJ.
Unless drawing 3 or more cards, we cannot get such bonus pay.

This time, I have to say that 'stay' is better.
However, it's boring, isn't it?
Besides, it sometimes feels upset.

If you are on the third base, choose 'hit' with great expectation.
Thanks to your great decision, you may save your companions at the same table.

Which base are you usually on?

At first, I don't like a third base, but a first one.
I felt a big responsibility as a role of the third base.
Dealer's final hand often depends on a player on the third base.

Recently I have been interested in the third base.
Maybe I wanna beat a dealer by myself and be praised by my companions.


That's all for today.
Thank you for reading my article and watching my video.
I hope they will be useful for your playing.

I'll be right back.  Bye.

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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 6s vs Dealer's 4

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two 6s vs Dealer's 4

  11:10    Japanese Nokkie

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Can you split 6s in this situation without hesitation?


Konbanwa, minasan.

Good evening, everyone.

I'm a Japanese man, Nokkie.
I like not only Blackjack but also Pontoon.

Today I struggled to upload a new video to my Youtube channel.
Its length or volume was very large.
And then, I split the video, but my camera suddenly started stopping.
The volume seemed to be the problem.

Since I didn't have any other choices, I erased another new video.
After that, I managed to split the video and upload it.
The erased video was about the case; Player's two 6s against Dealer's 4.

I noted the data before erasing it.

The number of the trials was 37.

I took a photo of the ending of the test ending only.
There were big differences between the three kinds of chips.
At the beginning, started with 30 chips each.

The results are shown below.

Case 1  Split (following the basic strategy)

The winning percentage is 56%.
The chip's fluctuation is +20.

Case 2  Hit

The winning percentage is 38%.
The chip's fluctuation is -18.

Case 3  Stay

The winning percentage is 35%.
The chip's fluctuation is -22.


From the percentages, players should split a pair of 6 against Dealer's 4.

As a merit of doing it, a player sometimes has a chance to double down after splitting.
For example, 5's card comes after 6 and then hand 11 appears.
Since Dealer's 4 is weak, many players will double down without hesitation.

Besides, it is not necessary for the player to surrender if his hand gets 12-16 by doubling.
The BS says so.

Why don't you get excited about splitting it?

I'm afraid there's no video this time.
I will be careful about the length and the volume while making videos.

That's all.
Thank you for reading.

I'll come back soon.  Bye.

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[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two Aces vs Dealer's Ace

[Pontoon,Spanish 21] Two Aces vs Dealer's Ace

  20:55    Japanese Nokkie

---

Since this game is NOT Blackjack, ・・・


Konnichiwa, minasan.

Hello, everyone.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

The Golden week Holidays are almost over.
I'm a bit tired, because I did many different things.
But I can also say the holidays were fulfilling to me.


Anyway, I made a study of Spanish 21 (Pontoon) today.
As the photo shows, it was about three Aces.
The cards on the tatami floor don't match each other,though.  I like it.

According to the basic strategy of Pontoon, 'hit' is recommended in this situation.
Do you know that?
I didn't know that.

I always split a pair of Aces in any situation before studying that.
I never thought of hitting two Aces.

In Blackjack, splitting Aces is recommended in the BS.
Then why is 'hit' recommended in Pontoon?

I took a test practically in order to calculate winning rate in both choices.

▼Practical Test▼

As I expected, the result was NOT good.
From the test, I can say that hit is somewhat better than split.

Since 10's cards are NOT used in Pontoon, low cards are likely to appear if hitting.
This time, the dealer got 7-card-21!
If it's a player's, the odds are 3 to 1!

A player can get excited about such a bonus hand if hitting two Aces.

However, I will hesitate about whether to hit or not.

I definitely wanna avoid being said, "twelve, twelve, too many."
（soft 12→hard 12→22 busted)
It's an embarrassing loss, isn't it?

When I play Blackjack, I'm used to splitting a pair of Ace.
Pontoon is not Blackjack, but another.

I need to make a better strategy for my playing pleasantly.


That's all for today.
Thank you so much.


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[BJ Strategy Match] BS vs Aggressive

[BJ Strategy Match] BS vs Aggressive

  17:49    Japanese Nokkie

---

Hi, there.

I'm a Japanese guy, Nokkie.

One of my casino friends lined me last night.
He has been enjoying his trip in the Philippines.

He seems to have fun with not only playing casino games, but also playing with young girls.
I wonder why he went on a trip, because he lost lots of money on foreign exchange trading last year.
I will ask him the reason.

In his line texting, he said, "A player at the same table complained about my decision when the dealer's hand became strong.  He didn't praise me when my decision was good, but he was just quiet then." (He seems to have played at the third base.)

I understand his circumstances.
He and I used to argue with such a selfish person.
But now, we are already tired from that kind of argument.

If I meet with such a nasty situation, what should I do?
Maybe it will be no use explain about the situation logically.
Should I apologize to the person?
No, I don't know why to do so.
Just saying "Unlucky." may be the best response.


Anyway, I'm really into the strategy match these days.
It's fun for me to think of a new strategy suitable to fight against BS.

The opponent against Mr. BS this time is Mr. Aggressive.
He definitely chooses 'hit' until his hand becomes 17 or stronger.
Besides he always doubles down and splits a pair if allowed.

Which strategy do you think is better to win?

First, I took a test with European style.
One opened card is dealt out for Dealer at the beginning.
Dealer's second card is dealt out after all the players' decisions.

▼Practical Test Part 7▼

During the test, I thought it was so hard that I could not act like Mr. Aggressive.
Because I will have to double down without hesitation when my hand is 9 and a dealer's initial card is Ace.
The result was not good as I expected.
However, such an aggressive strategy is not always terrible.
Improved it, it might turn into a better one.


Next, I took a test with American style.
Two cards are dealt out for Dealer at the beginning.
One is opened and the other is placed upside down.
We call the hidden card hole card.
When it is 10 or A, the dealer needs to say, "Checking for blackjack."
And then, every player wishes the dealer's hand will NOT be BJ.
If so, all the players become losers before their decisions.
Players who have BJ at that time will feel empty.

Some of them shouts, "Even money!", and they get even winning chips.
In my case, I never choose it.
I wanna get BJ bonus (3 to 2).
From the point of view of the probability, even money is NOT a reasonable choice.
Because it is NOT just 50%!

▼Practical Test Part 8▼

At first, Mr. Aggressive was in a very good condition.
The more he doubled down or split, the more his chips increased.

However, his great luck didn't go on.
On the way of the test, it got upset.
That's scary.

The player's chips may be roughly doubled at the most.
Unless the betting amount is changed well, it seems quite difficult to increase the player's chips more than double.
In other words, it may be high time we stop the game if our chips reach double.
After some rest, we should play it again.
It might be a key to victory.

If you agree with this idea, try doing it.


That's all for today.
Thank you for reading my article and watching my videos.
I hope they will be useful.

Have a good weekend.  Bye.


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